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Anyone Can Quote Stats, 9 Out Of 10 People Know That

February 14, 2002 at 1:54 pm by Strider  - 

From Trae:

Read the “Lord, Almighty” NYpost.com article. Very interesting. I’m a stats guy, so here are a few more points that bode well for LOTR: FOTR’s chances of winning best picture.

1. The movie receiving the most nominations has won best picture for the past 9 years.
2. In the past 20 years (I was too lazy to go back farther), the movie receiving the most nominations won best picture 90% of the time.
[Caveat: the two exceptions are 1981 and 1991…so, 2001?]
3. In the past 20 years, when only one of the movies up for best picture has double digit nominations, it wins 87.5% of the time.
4. In the past 20 years, when a movie has 3+ nominations more than its nearest competitor (it’s happened 6 times), it wins 100% of the time.

Posted in Old Special Reports on February 14, 2002 by

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